Excelsior vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
59.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1974 |
EXC
2 - 2
SPA
22%
28%
50%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
MVV
0 - 1
EXC
68%
21%
12%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
EXC
0 - 0
ADO
30%
31%
39%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1974 |
AJA
2 - 0
EXC
92%
6%
2%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
ADO
1 - 1
EXC
78%
16%
6%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1974 |
PSV
5 - 1
GAE
77%
15%
8%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
PSV
10 - 0
ARD
85%
11%
4%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1974 |
SPA
1 - 2
PSV
40%
25%
35%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
PSV
3 - 2
FEY
40%
25%
36%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1974 |
MVV
1 - 3
PSV
22%
26%
52%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |