Excelsior vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
66.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
GAE
2 - 1
EXC
79%
15%
7%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1973 |
EXC
2 - 3
AMS
25%
29%
47%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
HFC
2 - 0
EXC
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
EXC
1 - 0
AZA
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
MVV
3 - 0
EXC
77%
16%
8%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1973 |
PSV
0 - 0
ADO
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
BOS
1 - 4
PSV
25%
27%
48%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1973 |
AJA
3 - 1
PSV
81%
12%
7%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
PSV
3 - 0
TEL
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 2
PSV
32%
28%
41%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |