Excelsior vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
57.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1972 |
NAC
0 - 0
EXC
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
EXC
1 - 1
GRO
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
EXC
0 - 0
VIT
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
SPA
5 - 1
EXC
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1972 |
TWE
3 - 0
EXC
86%
10%
5%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1972 |
PSV
0 - 1
SPA
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
ADO
1 - 1
PSV
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
PSV
0 - 0
TWE
52%
27%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
AJA
4 - 1
PSV
77%
14%
9%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1972 |
VOL
1 - 1
PSV
22%
28%
50%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |