Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
29.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
RJC
1 - 4
EXC
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 2
VOL
66%
19%
15%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
BOS
3 - 3
EXC
30%
25%
44%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
EXC
5 - 4
EIN
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
GRA
0 - 0
EXC
50%
24%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
VOL
3 - 1
NEC
27%
25%
49%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2019 |
NEC
0 - 0
JUT
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
HEL
1 - 2
NEC
11%
19%
70%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
NEC
3 - 0
FCO
64%
21%
16%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
BVO
0 - 0
NEC
52%
23%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |