Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
30.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
RJC
3 - 3
EXC
67%
21%
13%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
EXC
3 - 2
VVV
47%
23%
30%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 3
GRO
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
EXC
2 - 5
SCH
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
AZA
3 - 0
EXC
80%
14%
6%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
NEC
1 - 0
WIL
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2007 |
TWE
1 - 2
NEC
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
TWE
3 - 0
NEC
66%
21%
14%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
NEC
0 - 1
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
VIT
1 - 0
NEC
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |