Excelsior vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
PSV
1 - 0
EXC
80%
15%
6%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 2
UTR
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
RJC
2 - 1
EXC
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SPA
2 - 3
EXC
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
HOF
2 - 2
EXC
77%
16%
8%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
6 - 1
HER
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 1
NAC
76%
15%
9%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 1
VVV
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
ZWO
1 - 0
NAC
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 1
UTR
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +2 |