Excelsior vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
46.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
FEY
1 - 0
EXC
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
WIL
1 - 1
EXC
32%
25%
44%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
EXC
1 - 0
VVV
52%
23%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
PSV
4 - 2
EXC
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
SPA
2 - 1
EXC
20%
23%
57%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
NAC
3 - 1
UTR
47%
27%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
NAC
4 - 2
PSV
22%
26%
52%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ADO
3 - 0
NAC
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 1
TWE
22%
26%
51%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
SCH
0 - 2
NAC
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |