Excelsior vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
WIL
6 - 0
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 4
PSV
22%
25%
53%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
GRA
1 - 1
EXC
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
EXC
4 - 3
SPA
49%
23%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
BVO
1 - 2
EXC
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
AJA
1 - 3
NAC
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2007 |
NAC
0 - 0
RJC
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
TWE
1 - 1
NAC
60%
22%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
UTR
0 - 1
NAC
45%
26%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
SPA
2 - 3
NAC
40%
24%
36%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |