Excelsior vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
GRA
1 - 1
EXC
27%
24%
50%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
EXC
0 - 0
NEC
62%
20%
18%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
SCH
2 - 0
EXC
50%
23%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
EXC
1 - 1
UTR
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
RJC
2 - 3
EXC
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
NAC
0 - 0
GRO
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
UTR
1 - 0
NAC
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2002 |
NAC
0 - 0
VIT
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
ZWO
0 - 3
NAC
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
NAC
2 - 2
PSV
23%
25%
53%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |