Excelsior vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
EXC
0 - 1
AJA
16%
22%
63%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1985 |
SPA
4 - 0
EXC
77%
14%
9%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
EXC
0 - 1
HFC
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1984 |
PSV
2 - 0
EXC
82%
12%
6%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1984 |
EXC
1 - 2
VOL
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1985 |
NAC
2 - 0
RJC
40%
29%
31%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1985 |
NAC
1 - 3
FEY
14%
22%
65%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1984 |
NAC
1 - 2
GRO
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1984 |
TWE
2 - 0
NAC
67%
20%
14%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1984 |
NAC
0 - 1
GAE
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |