Excelsior vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2021 |
ALK
0 - 2
EXC
18%
21%
62%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 1
JUT
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
HEL
1 - 5
EXC
14%
20%
66%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
EXC
4 - 4
ALM
53%
22%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
TEL
2 - 5
EXC
23%
23%
53%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
MVV
1 - 1
FCO
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
MVV
1 - 1
RJC
28%
25%
47%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
MVV
1 - 2
PSV
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
ALM
0 - 2
MVV
59%
23%
19%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
MVV
0 - 1
BOS
45%
24%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |