Excelsior vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
EIN
3 - 1
EXC
27%
25%
48%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
EXC
6 - 4
BOS
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
EXC
3 - 3
ALK
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
HEL
1 - 4
EXC
15%
22%
64%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
EXC
2 - 2
NAC
46%
24%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
MVV
2 - 3
BOS
30%
26%
43%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
TEL
2 - 1
MVV
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MVV
3 - 0
GAE
21%
24%
55%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
BVO
2 - 1
MVV
72%
18%
11%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
MVV
3 - 1
PSV
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +2 |