Excelsior vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
48.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
EIN
1 - 1
EXC
65%
20%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 0
TEL
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 3
GRA
39%
26%
36%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
BVO
3 - 2
EXC
74%
16%
9%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 1
SPA
20%
23%
56%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
MVV
3 - 4
VOL
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
MVV
3 - 2
EIN
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
MVV
37%
26%
36%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
HEL
1 - 1
MVV
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
MVV
3 - 3
GAE
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |