Excelsior vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
19%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1985 |
FEY
2 - 1
EXC
84%
12%
5%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
EXC
1 - 0
UTR
48%
25%
26%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1985 |
ZWO
2 - 2
EXC
51%
27%
23%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
GRO
2 - 0
EXC
76%
15%
9%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1985 |
MVV
2 - 2
EXC
58%
25%
18%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
MVV
0 - 0
GAE
54%
26%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1985 |
VOL
0 - 1
MVV
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1985 |
MVV
0 - 1
RJC
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1985 |
MVV
0 - 1
NAC
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1985 |
MVV
2 - 2
EXC
58%
25%
18%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |