Excelsior vs Jong Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
HEL
1 - 5
EXC
14%
20%
66%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
EXC
4 - 4
ALM
53%
22%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
TEL
2 - 5
EXC
23%
23%
53%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
EXC
3 - 4
EIN
70%
18%
11%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
IJS
0 - 3
EXC
10%
16%
74%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Jong Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2021 |
JUT
0 - 1
VOL
14%
20%
67%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 1
JUT
70%
20%
11%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
JUT
0 - 6
EIN
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
BOS
2 - 1
JUT
46%
24%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
JUT
2 - 1
FCO
47%
25%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |