Excelsior vs Jong Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
ALM
4 - 1
EXC
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
EXC
5 - 1
JON
38%
23%
39%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
MVV
1 - 0
EXC
22%
23%
55%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
EXC
1 - 3
RJC
62%
20%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 1
VIT
21%
21%
58%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Jong Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
JUT
0 - 1
MVV
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
JUT
3 - 1
FCD
62%
20%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
BOS
3 - 0
JUT
43%
24%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
JUT
1 - 3
BVO
13%
20%
67%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
ALK
3 - 2
JUT
40%
24%
36%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |