Excelsior vs Jong Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
BOS
4 - 1
EXC
32%
23%
45%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
ANO
1 - 2
EXC
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
KVK
4 - 0
EXC
70%
18%
12%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
HER
0 - 2
EXC
54%
22%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
GAE
2 - 0
EXC
22%
21%
57%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Jong Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
JUT
1 - 1
FCO
17%
20%
63%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
JUT
2 - 4
FCN
9%
15%
77%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
FCD
1 - 2
JUT
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
JUT
1 - 1
HEL
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
JUT
3 - 1
VOL
20%
23%
58%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +2 |