Excelsior vs Jong PSV analysis

Excelsior Jong PSV
82 ELO 63
6.8% Tilt 21.6%
562º General ELO ranking 2406º
17º Country ELO ranking 48º
ELO win probability
75.8%
Excelsior
16.1%
Draw
8.1%
Jong PSV

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
Excelsior
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.1%
Win probability
Jong PSV
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Excelsior
+8%
-15%
Jong PSV

Points and table prediction

Excelsior
Their league position
Jong PSV
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
18º
30
19º
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FC Volendam
82
82
100%
Excelsior
74
74
100%
Cambuur
71
71
100%
ADO Den Haag
70
70
100%
Dordrecht
68
68
100%
De Graafschap
65
65
100%
SC Telstar
61
61
100%
Emmen
56
56
100%
Den Bosch
55
55
100%
Jong AZ
10º
52
52
10º
100%
FC Eindhoven
11º
51
51
11º
100%
Roda JC
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Helmond Sport
13º
46
46
13º
100%
Vitesse
20º
5
44
14º
100%
VVV Venlo
14º
41
41
15º
100%
MVV Maastricht
15º
40
40
16º
100%
TOP Oss
16º
38
38
17º
100%
Jong Ajax
17º
36
36
18º
100%
Jong PSV
18º
30
30
19º
100%
Jong Utrecht
19º
23
23
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Excelsior
Jong PSV
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Excelsior
Jong PSV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Excelsior
Excelsior
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2025
EXC
Excelsior
2 - 0
Emmen
FCE
50%
24%
26%
81 77 4 0
20 Apr. 2025
VOL
FC Volendam
1 - 4
Excelsior
EXC
48%
23%
29%
81 81 0 0
11 Apr. 2025
EXC
Excelsior
2 - 0
TOP Oss
FCO
77%
16%
7%
80 62 18 +1
04 Apr. 2025
MVV
MVV Maastricht
1 - 2
Excelsior
EXC
25%
24%
51%
80 72 8 0
28 Mar. 2025
EXC
Excelsior
3 - 0
Jong Utrecht
JUT
83%
13%
5%
80 54 26 0

Matches

Jong PSV
Jong PSV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2025
PSV
Jong PSV
0 - 2
FC Eindhoven
EIN
38%
25%
38%
65 71 6 0
20 Apr. 2025
ADO
ADO Den Haag
3 - 2
Jong PSV
PSV
72%
18%
10%
65 81 16 0
14 Apr. 2025
PSV
Jong PSV
3 - 2
MVV Maastricht
MVV
34%
25%
41%
64 72 8 +1
07 Apr. 2025
ALK
Jong AZ
2 - 2
Jong PSV
PSV
66%
19%
14%
63 74 11 +1
04 Apr. 2025
VOL
FC Volendam
4 - 0
Jong PSV
PSV
76%
15%
9%
63 80 17 0