Excelsior vs Jong PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
GRA
3 - 1
EXC
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
EXC
3 - 1
FCD
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
BOS
0 - 5
EXC
32%
24%
44%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
JON
1 - 2
EXC
40%
24%
36%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
EXC
1 - 1
VOL
36%
25%
40%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Jong PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
PSV
0 - 1
ADO
27%
24%
49%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
JUT
2 - 1
PSV
34%
24%
42%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
PSV
3 - 1
JON
31%
23%
46%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
HEL
1 - 0
PSV
29%
24%
47%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
PSV
3 - 2
EIN
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |