Excelsior vs Jong Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
42.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2022 |
EIN
4 - 1
EXC
30%
25%
45%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 1
FCE
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
EXC
2 - 3
ADO
42%
24%
34%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
PSV
3 - 0
EXC
27%
24%
49%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 0
GRA
37%
24%
39%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2022 |
JON
2 - 0
PSV
55%
22%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
JON
2 - 1
ALK
76%
16%
9%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
TEL
1 - 0
JON
17%
20%
63%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2022 |
JON
2 - 1
BOS
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2022 |
JUT
0 - 2
JON
13%
18%
69%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |