Excelsior vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
43.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
AZA
2 - 1
EXC
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
PSV
6 - 0
EXC
84%
12%
4%
|
67 | 90 | 23 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
EXC
3 - 3
UTR
20%
23%
57%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
FCE
1 - 2
EXC
39%
26%
36%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 7
AJA
9%
17%
74%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
HER
0 - 4
PSV
10%
16%
74%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
UTR
3 - 1
HER
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
HER
4 - 1
VVV
43%
26%
32%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 0
HER
34%
24%
42%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
HER
0 - 2
FEY
20%
22%
58%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |