Excelsior vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
48.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 0
EXC
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TWE
2 - 2
EXC
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 2
VIT
43%
25%
33%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 5
EXC
24%
23%
53%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
GRO
2 - 0
EXC
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
HER
2 - 1
GRO
39%
24%
37%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
HER
2 - 0
GRA
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 1
HER
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
JVC
0 - 1
HER
15%
19%
66%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
UTR
2 - 2
HER
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |