Excelsior vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
HEL
1 - 1
EXC
30%
24%
46%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2000 |
EXC
5 - 4
FCD
72%
17%
12%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
HFC
2 - 2
EXC
20%
22%
58%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2000 |
EXC
3 - 2
BVO
71%
17%
12%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
EXC
2 - 1
BOS
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
HER
1 - 1
BOS
31%
26%
43%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
ADO
1 - 1
HER
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
HER
1 - 0
MVV
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
TEL
2 - 1
HER
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
HER
0 - 1
FCO
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |