Excelsior vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1997 |
EXC
1 - 2
ZWO
26%
25%
49%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
HFC
2 - 1
EXC
52%
24%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
BVV
1 - 0
EXC
62%
22%
17%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1997 |
BVO
4 - 2
EXC
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1997 |
HEL
2 - 2
EXC
62%
20%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
FCO
2 - 1
HER
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
HER
2 - 1
HEL
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1997 |
HER
1 - 0
EIN
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1997 |
HER
4 - 2
TEL
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
FCD
1 - 1
HER
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |