Excelsior vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1997 |
HEL
3 - 3
EXC
59%
20%
20%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1997 |
EXC
2 - 3
FCO
48%
25%
26%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
ADO
3 - 1
EXC
66%
20%
15%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
EXC
3 - 1
EIN
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
BVV
0 - 0
EXC
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1997 |
HER
3 - 0
VVV
43%
25%
31%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1997 |
TEL
2 - 1
HER
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
HER
2 - 2
RBC
56%
23%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1997 |
ZWO
1 - 1
HER
72%
18%
11%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
HER
0 - 1
BOS
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |