Excelsior vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
46.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
JON
3 - 0
EXC
54%
22%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
EXC
1 - 2
TEL
65%
19%
16%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
FCD
1 - 3
EXC
17%
21%
62%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
EXC
4 - 6
ALM
60%
20%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
PSV
1 - 6
EXC
29%
25%
47%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
GRA
2 - 0
NEC
53%
22%
25%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
ALK
7 - 3
GRA
13%
20%
67%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
GRA
4 - 0
RJC
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
EBT
0 - 1
GRA
33%
23%
44%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2020 |
GRA
4 - 2
BOS
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |