Excelsior vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
VIT
3 - 2
EXC
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
EXC
0 - 3
HER
32%
24%
44%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
AZA
2 - 1
EXC
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
PSV
6 - 0
EXC
84%
12%
4%
|
67 | 90 | 23 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
EXC
3 - 3
UTR
20%
23%
57%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
GRA
5 - 1
FOR
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2019 |
PER
3 - 4
GRA
11%
16%
73%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
GRA
2 - 2
VIT
16%
23%
61%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
AJA
8 - 0
GRA
84%
12%
4%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
ADO
0 - 0
GRA
48%
25%
28%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |