Excelsior vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
GRO
2 - 0
EXC
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 2
AZA
25%
24%
52%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
NEC
1 - 0
EXC
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
GAE
0 - 2
EXC
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
FCO
1 - 1
EXC
28%
24%
49%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
RJC
1 - 0
GRA
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 3
ZWO
28%
26%
47%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
SCH
3 - 1
GRA
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 1
FCE
43%
23%
34%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
LIE
0 - 2
GRA
29%
24%
47%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |