Excelsior vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
TEL
0 - 8
EXC
28%
26%
47%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 0
EXC
28%
25%
47%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 1
VOL
44%
24%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 1
MVV
52%
24%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 2
EXC
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 2
WIL
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
JON
2 - 1
GRA
28%
28%
44%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
GRA
3 - 1
VVV
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
TEL
0 - 2
GRA
30%
26%
44%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2014 |
FCE
1 - 2
GRA
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |