Excelsior vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 2
HFC
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2006 |
ZWO
0 - 5
EXC
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Dec. 2005 |
EXC
2 - 2
FCO
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2005 |
FCE
0 - 2
EXC
40%
25%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2005 |
EXC
4 - 0
BVO
71%
17%
12%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2006 |
EIN
2 - 1
GRA
40%
26%
35%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2006 |
GRA
4 - 2
BVV
58%
22%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2005 |
FCD
0 - 2
GRA
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2005 |
MVV
1 - 0
GRA
47%
26%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2005 |
APE
2 - 2
GRA
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |