Excelsior vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2004 |
BVV
1 - 4
EXC
25%
23%
52%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2004 |
HER
1 - 1
EXC
54%
23%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2004 |
EXC
3 - 0
FCO
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2004 |
EXC
3 - 3
EIN
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2004 |
MVV
1 - 2
EXC
20%
22%
58%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2004 |
GRA
3 - 1
HER
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2004 |
FCE
0 - 2
GRA
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2004 |
GRA
4 - 1
FCD
71%
18%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
APE
4 - 2
GRA
37%
25%
37%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2004 |
GRA
1 - 1
VVV
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |