Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2021 |
ALK
2 - 1
EXC
27%
23%
51%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
EXC
3 - 0
FCD
79%
13%
8%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 2
EXC
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
TEL
1 - 1
EXC
37%
25%
39%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 1
NEC
31%
24%
45%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2021 |
GAE
2 - 1
NEC
44%
26%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
GAE
5 - 1
HEL
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
JUT
0 - 1
GAE
13%
21%
67%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
GAE
3 - 0
ALM
38%
26%
37%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
GRA
1 - 0
GAE
49%
24%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |