Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
EXC
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
TEL
0 - 1
EXC
23%
23%
55%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 0
FCO
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
JON
1 - 2
EXC
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
JON
0 - 2
EXC
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
GAE
2 - 3
GRO
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
GAE
2 - 0
IST
38%
24%
38%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
GAE
0 - 1
RJC
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 2
GAE
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
GAE
0 - 2
SCH
27%
24%
49%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |