Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
52.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
EIN
1 - 3
EXC
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
BOS
3 - 2
EXC
50%
25%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 1
ALM
54%
23%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
EXC
3 - 1
JON
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GRA
2 - 1
EXC
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
NAC
5 - 0
GAE
45%
26%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
GAE
2 - 2
FEY
23%
23%
53%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
GAE
4 - 3
NEC
53%
24%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
AJA
6 - 0
GAE
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
DVS
0 - 3
GAE
8%
16%
77%
|
70 | 36 | 34 | 0 |