Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
8.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2002 |
VVV
1 - 6
EXC
22%
22%
56%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2002 |
EXC
2 - 2
VOL
75%
15%
10%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2002 |
MVV
1 - 7
EXC
26%
23%
50%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2002 |
EXC
3 - 3
HER
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2001 |
EIN
0 - 1
EXC
24%
22%
54%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
GAE
0 - 1
ZWO
24%
23%
53%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
FCO
1 - 0
GAE
29%
24%
47%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
GAE
2 - 0
BVV
51%
23%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2002 |
FCE
1 - 1
GAE
54%
23%
24%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
GAE
0 - 1
ADO
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |