Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
18.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2000 |
FCE
3 - 1
EXC
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
EXC
4 - 0
FCO
80%
13%
7%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2000 |
VOL
0 - 5
EXC
28%
24%
48%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2000 |
ADO
2 - 3
EXC
33%
25%
42%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
EXC
5 - 1
MVV
63%
20%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2000 |
GAE
2 - 2
VOL
70%
17%
13%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
ADO
3 - 5
GAE
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
GAE
1 - 0
BOS
39%
25%
37%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2000 |
TEL
2 - 0
GAE
35%
25%
40%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
GAE
2 - 1
VVV
68%
18%
14%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |