Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
FCE
0 - 0
EXC
52%
24%
25%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
NAC
1 - 2
EXC
58%
22%
21%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
EXC
0 - 2
TEL
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 1999 |
FCO
1 - 4
EXC
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1999 |
EXC
3 - 0
VVV
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1999 |
HFC
1 - 4
GAE
41%
24%
35%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
GAE
6 - 0
HEL
58%
21%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
GAE
4 - 1
VOL
61%
20%
19%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
GRO
6 - 1
GAE
73%
17%
11%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
GAE
4 - 4
FCD
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |