Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1999 |
HEL
1 - 3
EXC
60%
21%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1999 |
EXC
3 - 0
FCO
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
EXC
3 - 2
ZWO
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
FCE
4 - 0
EXC
67%
19%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1998 |
EXC
0 - 5
PSV
10%
16%
74%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1999 |
FCO
1 - 2
GAE
42%
24%
34%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1999 |
GAE
0 - 0
VOL
60%
21%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1999 |
GAE
3 - 0
FCE
42%
24%
34%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 1999 |
ZWO
5 - 2
GAE
60%
21%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
GAE
0 - 2
EIN
62%
20%
18%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -2 |