Excelsior vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
AZA
2 - 3
EXC
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 4
EXC
48%
23%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
GAE
0 - 0
EXC
13%
18%
69%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
ZWO
5 - 0
EXC
46%
23%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
ASW
3 - 4
EXC
9%
15%
75%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 2
FOR
12%
17%
72%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 2
LEV
17%
21%
63%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
GOZ
1 - 1
FOR
54%
23%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 1
ANT
35%
24%
41%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
VVS
0 - 13
FOR
5%
11%
85%
|
66 | 10 | 56 | 0 |