Excelsior vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
ACH
0 - 0
EXC
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 1
VVV
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
FCO
2 - 2
EXC
30%
25%
46%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
EXC
3 - 0
JON
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 0
GAE
25%
23%
52%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
FCD
35%
26%
40%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
JON
3 - 2
FOR
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 0
FCE
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 1
FOR
33%
26%
40%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
ACH
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |