Excelsior vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
MVV
0 - 1
EXC
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2008 |
EXC
0 - 1
TEL
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
SCH
5 - 0
EXC
80%
13%
7%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
EXC
1 - 1
AZA
19%
22%
59%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
TWE
1 - 0
EXC
74%
18%
9%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
GAE
1 - 1
FOR
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 2
FCE
34%
24%
42%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2008 |
RKC
2 - 1
FOR
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2008 |
FOR
2 - 2
ADO
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2008 |
HEL
1 - 1
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |