Excelsior vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
24.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
EXC
1 - 1
GAE
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
SPA
2 - 2
EXC
82%
12%
6%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1986 |
PSV
7 - 0
EXC
84%
11%
5%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
EXC
1 - 2
VVV
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
EXC
0 - 2
ADO
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
HFC
1 - 1
FOR
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
FOR
0 - 2
RJC
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1986 |
FOR
2 - 2
GRO
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
TWE
1 - 0
FOR
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1986 |
FOR
2 - 5
ZWO
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |