Excelsior vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1986 |
BOS
0 - 0
EXC
61%
22%
16%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
EXC
0 - 0
HFC
45%
26%
28%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
UTR
0 - 0
EXC
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
EXC
2 - 1
FEY
17%
22%
61%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
AZA
1 - 0
EXC
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1986 |
FOR
1 - 1
FEY
20%
23%
57%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1986 |
FOR
0 - 0
SPA
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
TWE
3 - 1
FOR
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
FOR
1 - 4
AJA
16%
21%
63%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1986 |
NEC
0 - 0
FOR
48%
28%
23%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |