Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 1
EXC
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 2
PSV
14%
20%
66%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
UTR
3 - 1
EXC
59%
23%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 0
RJC
57%
23%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
TWE
1 - 3
EXC
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2017 |
ZWO
1 - 1
UTR
32%
25%
43%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
SCH
1 - 2
ZWO
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ZWO
0 - 1
PSV
14%
19%
68%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
VIT
0 - 0
ZWO
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
ZWO
2 - 0
ADO
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |