Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
44.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
TWE
2 - 0
EXC
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 1
SCH
25%
24%
50%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 3
HER
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
FEY
3 - 0
EXC
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
UTR
2 - 1
EXC
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
ZWO
2 - 0
NEC
51%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
AZA
5 - 1
ZWO
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
ZWO
3 - 1
RJC
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
AJA
3 - 0
ZWO
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ZWO
4 - 1
WIL
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |