Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 1
EXC
60%
22%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 2
UTR
38%
26%
37%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
AZA
3 - 3
EXC
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
WKE
0 - 3
EXC
17%
21%
62%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 1
TWE
20%
23%
57%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ZWO
1 - 2
TWE
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ZWO
2 - 0
GRO
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
FEY
2 - 0
ZWO
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
ZWO
6 - 1
HHC
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ZWO
2 - 2
SCH
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |