Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
47.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 2
FCE
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SPA
1 - 1
EXC
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 0
FOR
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
ACH
0 - 0
EXC
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 1
VVV
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2013 |
ZWO
1 - 2
SCH
32%
25%
43%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
GAE
4 - 1
ZWO
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ZWO
1 - 1
RKC
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
GRO
0 - 0
ZWO
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ZWO
1 - 1
TWE
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |