Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
FCD
0 - 1
EXC
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
FCO
3 - 1
EXC
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
EXC
3 - 2
EIN
68%
19%
14%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
GAE
1 - 1
EXC
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
EXC
1 - 1
MVV
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
ZWO
3 - 1
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
RKC
1 - 0
ZWO
61%
22%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
ZWO
3 - 2
BVV
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
FCE
1 - 0
ZWO
25%
24%
51%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
BVO
1 - 2
ZWO
37%
25%
37%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |