Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
24.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 1
EXC
78%
14%
8%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
EXC
2 - 6
FEY
23%
23%
54%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2003 |
EXC
1 - 3
UTR
42%
24%
34%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
EXC
1 - 2
RKC
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
EXC
1 - 2
RBC
64%
20%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
ZWO
1 - 1
RBC
52%
23%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
ZWO
0 - 5
AJA
21%
25%
55%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
GRO
4 - 0
ZWO
42%
25%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
ZWO
2 - 1
RKC
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2003 |
VIT
2 - 1
ZWO
61%
21%
17%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |