Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
31.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2001 |
FCO
1 - 5
EXC
18%
21%
61%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2001 |
EXC
4 - 0
FCE
73%
16%
11%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
BVV
1 - 1
EXC
28%
23%
48%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2001 |
EXC
1 - 2
RBC
77%
14%
9%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2001 |
ADO
4 - 2
EXC
26%
23%
51%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2001 |
ZWO
2 - 2
HEL
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2001 |
FCE
0 - 0
ZWO
24%
23%
53%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2001 |
ZWO
5 - 0
FCO
84%
12%
5%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2001 |
ZWO
6 - 3
EIN
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2001 |
ZWO
1 - 1
BVV
74%
16%
9%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |